Now that Mitt Romney has won Iowa and New Hampshire, political pundits are acting as if the GOP nomination battle is over, so they’re looking ahead to the next battle, which means making general election prognostications based on Romney vs. Obama polling.
It’s all garbage. Not because someone else may become the GOP nominee (they won’t), but because you haven’t seen the Obama machine in action yet.
He hasn’t had to run any campaign ads, he hasn’t criss-crossed the country with rallies and speeches, and we haven’t even seen what his overriding message will be. Obama is laying the groundwork by taking on the Republicans in congress, but he (and the SuperPACs that support him) have barely put the machine into first gear, so any predictions at this point are as irrelevant as boasting that your fantasy football team will win the Super Bowl before you’ve drafted the players.